China and Japan by 2035

Today 14.9% of people in China are 65 or older, against 30% in Japan (2025). We compare 8 of our tested forecasts for both up to 2035, each with its range.

What we compare

• People 65 and older: China, Japan
• Children per woman: China, Japan
• Economy per person (US$, not adjusted for inflation): China, Japan
• Home prices after inflation: China, Japan
• Adults with obesity: China, Japan
• People online: China, Japan
• Babies who die in their first year: China, Japan
• Carbon from the economy: China, Japan

Each row says which country is higher today, where our forecast puts both, and whether that order could change. Higher is not better or worse, only the bigger number. Economy per person is output in US dollars, not adjusted for inflation, and not pay.

Other natural pairs

• China and South Korea
• China and India
• China and United States
• Japan and South Korea
• Japan and United States

Every forecast for China · Every forecast for Japan · Our track record