Babies who do not reach their first birthday in Brazil: our forecast to 2034

Satoria projects babies who do not reach their first birthday in Brazil at about 10.8 per 1,000 live births in 2034, from 12.3 per 1,000 live births recorded in 2024.

How far the evidence reaches

Beyond tested horizon. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2029 from this reference), across 66 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.

The full name of this series is Babies who do not reach their first birthday (infant mortality rate).

The path

Where it starts

The latest source value is 12.3 per 1,000 live births recorded in 2024, published by World Bank - World Development Indicators. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

Every forecast we have for Brazil · Babies who do not reach their first birthday in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/wb.infant_mortality?country=BRA

Conditions and limits

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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