Government debt, against the size of the economy in Canada: our forecast to 2035

Name: Government debt, against the size of the economy in Canada: Satoria forecast to 2035
Creator: Satoria

Satoria cannot read a reliable direction for government debt, against the size of the economy in Canada by 2035. 80% range 84% to 157%.

How far the evidence reaches

Limited evidence. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2030 from this reference), across 66 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.

The full name of this series is Government debt, against the size of the economy (general government debt, % of gross domestic product).

The path

2026: Satoria forecast 116% (80% range 105.5 to 126)
2027: Satoria forecast 117.1% (80% range 101.7 to 131.6)
2031: Satoria forecast 122.1% (80% range 90 to 148.5)
2035: Satoria forecast 125.2% (80% range 84 to 157)

Where it starts

The latest source value is 113.6% recorded in 2025, published by International Monetary Fund - World Economic Outlook. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

Every forecast we have for Canada · Government debt, against the size of the economy in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/imf.govt_debt_pct_gdp?country=CAN

Conditions and limits

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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