Share of adults in work or looking for work in China: our forecast to 2035

Satoria projects share of adults in work or looking for work in China at about 62.4% in 2035, from 64.6% recorded in 2025. 80% range 59% to 66.3%.

How far the evidence reaches

Limited evidence. This measurement has no sufficiently calibrated test horizon on the record. Colour does not represent a probability.

The full name of this series is Share of adults in work or looking for work (labour force participation rate).

The path

• 2026: Satoria forecast 64.3% (80% range 63.3 to 65.2)
• 2027: Satoria forecast 64% (80% range 62.8 to 65.2)
• 2031: Satoria forecast 63.1% (80% range 60.7 to 65.6)
• 2035: Satoria forecast 62.4% (80% range 59 to 66.3)

Where it starts

The latest source value is 64.6% recorded in 2025, published by International Labour Organization - ILOSTAT. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

• Share of adults in work or looking for work in United States
• Share of adults in work or looking for work in Germany
• Share of adults in work or looking for work in India

Every forecast we have for China · Share of adults in work or looking for work in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/ilo.labor_force_participation?country=CHN

Conditions and limits

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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