How long people live in Ethiopia: our forecast to 2034
Satoria projects how long people live in Ethiopia at about 70 years in 2034, from 67.6 years recorded in 2024. 80% range 59.8 years to 81 years.
How far the evidence reaches
Limited evidence. This measurement has no sufficiently calibrated test horizon on the record. Colour does not represent a probability.
The full name of this series is How long people live (life expectancy at birth).
The path
- 2025: Satoria forecast 67.9 years (80% range 65 to 70)
- 2026: Satoria forecast 68.2 years (80% range 64.3 to 70.9)
- 2030: Satoria forecast 69 years (80% range 61.8 to 75.6)
- 2034: Satoria forecast 70 years (80% range 59.8 to 81)
Where it starts
The latest source value is 67.6 years recorded in 2024, published by World Bank - World Development Indicators. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.
The same measure elsewhere
Every forecast we have for Ethiopia · How long people live in every country
This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/wb.life_expectancy?country=ETH
Conditions and limits
What this number can establish
The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.
The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.
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