Young people out of work in Finland: our forecast to 2036

Satoria cannot read a reliable direction for young people out of work in Finland by 2036. 80% range 7.6% to 42.7%. Source values from OECD Data Explorer.

How far the evidence reaches

Limited evidence. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2031 from this reference), across 29 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.

The full name of this series is Young people out of work (youth unemployment rate, ages 15-24, monthly).

The path

• 2027: Satoria forecast 23% (80% range 18.1 to 28.5)
• 2028: Satoria forecast 22.8% (80% range 15.3 to 31.6)
• 2032: Satoria forecast 21.9% (80% range 9.6 to 39.2)
• 2036: Satoria forecast 21.7% (80% range 7.6 to 42.7)

Where it starts

The latest source value is 22.8% recorded in 2026, published by OECD Data Explorer. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

• Young people out of work in United States
• Young people out of work in Germany
• Young people out of work in India

Every forecast we have for Finland · Young people out of work in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/oecd.youth_unemployment_rate?country=FIN

Conditions and limits

A share of the workforce

Unemployment is the percentage of the labour force that is unemployed, not the percentage of all residents and not your personal chance of finding work. A change in participation or migration can change this rate without an equivalent change in the number of jobs.

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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