Share of home energy from gas in France: our forecast to 2034

Satoria projects share of home energy from gas in France at about 23.2% in 2034, from 23.5% recorded in 2024. 80% range 15.5% to 31.4%.

How far the evidence reaches

Beyond tested horizon. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2029 from this reference), across 17 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.

The full name of this series is Share of home energy from gas (households' final energy consumption, natural gas, % of total).

The path

• 2025: Satoria forecast 23.5% (80% range 21.1 to 26.1)
• 2026: Satoria forecast 23.5% (80% range 20.3 to 26.9)
• 2030: Satoria forecast 23.4% (80% range 17.6 to 29.5)
• 2034: Satoria forecast 23.2% (80% range 15.5 to 31.4)

Where it starts

The latest source value is 23.5% recorded in 2024, published by Eurostat. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

• Share of home energy from gas in United States
• Share of home energy from gas in Germany
• Share of home energy from gas in India

Every forecast we have for France · Share of home energy from gas in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/eurostat.hh_energy_share_gas?country=FRA

Conditions and limits

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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