Young people out of work in France: our forecast to 2035
Satoria projects young people out of work in France at about 18.7 modeled ILO estimate in 2035, from 18.9 modeled ILO estimate recorded in 2025.
How far the evidence reaches
Beyond tested horizon. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2030 from this reference), across 65 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.
The path
- 2026: Satoria forecast 18.7 modeled ILO estimate (80% range 17.2 to 21)
- 2027: Satoria forecast 18.6 modeled ILO estimate (80% range 16.2 to 22)
- 2031: Satoria forecast 18.6 modeled ILO estimate (80% range 14.2 to 24.8)
- 2035: Satoria forecast 18.7 modeled ILO estimate (80% range 12.9 to 25.9)
Where it starts
The latest source value is 18.9 modeled ILO estimate recorded in 2025, published by World Bank - World Development Indicators. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.
The same measure elsewhere
- Young people out of work in United States
- Young people out of work in Germany
- Young people out of work in India
Every forecast we have for France · Young people out of work in every country
This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/wb.youth_unemployment?country=FRA
Conditions and limits
A share of the workforce
Unemployment is the percentage of the labour force that is unemployed, not the percentage of all residents and not your personal chance of finding work. A change in participation or migration can change this rate without an equivalent change in the number of jobs.
What this number can establish
The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.
The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.
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