Share of home energy from heating oil and bottled gas in Germany: our forecast to 2034
Satoria cannot read a reliable direction for share of home energy from heating oil and bottled gas in Germany by 2034. 80% range 4.2% to 34.6%.
How far the evidence reaches
Limited evidence. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2029 from this reference), across 19 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.
The full name of this series is Share of home energy from heating oil and bottled gas (households' final energy consumption, oil and petroleum products, % of total).
The path
- 2025: Satoria forecast 18.6% (80% range 12.9 to 27)
- 2026: Satoria forecast 18.5% (80% range 12.2 to 27.9)
- 2030: Satoria forecast 18% (80% range 8.8 to 31.9)
- 2034: Satoria forecast 17.9% (80% range 4.2 to 34.6)
Where it starts
The latest source value is 19% recorded in 2024, published by Eurostat. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.
The same measure elsewhere
- Share of home energy from heating oil and bottled gas in United States
- Share of home energy from heating oil and bottled gas in India
- Share of home energy from heating oil and bottled gas in Brazil
Every forecast we have for Germany · Share of home energy from heating oil and bottled gas in every country
This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/eurostat.hh_energy_share_oil?country=DEU
Conditions and limits
What this number can establish
The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.
The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.
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