Unemployment rate in Hungary: our forecast to 2036
Satoria projects unemployment rate in Hungary at about 6.2% in 2036, from 4.7% recorded in 2026. 80% range 2.2% to 12.6%.
How far the evidence reaches
Beyond tested horizon. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2031 from this reference), across 26 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.
The full name of this series is Unemployment rate (harmonised unemployment rate, monthly, FRED and OECD).
The path
- 2027: Satoria forecast 4.7% (80% range 3.6 to 6)
- 2028: Satoria forecast 4.9% (80% range 3.3 to 7)
- 2032: Satoria forecast 5.6% (80% range 2.4 to 10.5)
- 2036: Satoria forecast 6.2% (80% range 2.2 to 12.6)
Where it starts
The latest source value is 4.7% recorded in 2026, published by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - FRED. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.
The same measure elsewhere
Every forecast we have for Hungary · Unemployment rate in every country
This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/fred.unemployment_rate_harmonised?country=HUN
Conditions and limits
A share of the workforce
Unemployment is the percentage of the labour force that is unemployed, not the percentage of all residents and not your personal chance of finding work. A change in participation or migration can change this rate without an equivalent change in the number of jobs.
What this number can establish
The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.
The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.
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