Government debt, against the size of the economy in Ireland: our forecast to 2035

Name: Government debt, against the size of the economy in Ireland: Satoria forecast to 2035
Creator: Satoria

Satoria cannot read a reliable direction for government debt, against the size of the economy in Ireland by 2035. 80% range 25.2% to 131.3%.

How far the evidence reaches

Limited evidence. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2030 from this reference), across 66 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.

The full name of this series is Government debt, against the size of the economy (general government debt, % of gross domestic product).

The path

2026: Satoria forecast 33.8% (80% range 25 to 46.9)
2027: Satoria forecast 34.4% (80% range 21 to 57.8)
2031: Satoria forecast 52.7% (80% range 14.9 to 88.6)
2035: Satoria forecast 80.1% (80% range 25.2 to 131.3)

Where it starts

The latest source value is 34.8% recorded in 2025, published by International Monetary Fund - World Economic Outlook. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

Every forecast we have for Ireland · Government debt, against the size of the economy in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/imf.govt_debt_pct_gdp?country=IRL

Conditions and limits

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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