Share of people living in cities in Italy: our forecast to 2035

Satoria projects share of people living in cities in Italy at about 70.7% in 2035, from 69.7% recorded in 2025. 80% range 69.8% to 71.8%.

How far the evidence reaches

Beyond tested horizon. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2030 from this reference), across 65 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.

The full name of this series is Share of people living in cities (urban population, %).

The path

• 2026: Satoria forecast 69.8% (80% range 69.7 to 69.8)
• 2027: Satoria forecast 69.9% (80% range 69.8 to 69.9)
• 2031: Satoria forecast 70.3% (80% range 69.9 to 70.8)
• 2035: Satoria forecast 70.7% (80% range 69.8 to 71.8)

Where it starts

The latest source value is 69.7% recorded in 2025, published by World Bank - World Development Indicators. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

• Share of people living in cities in United States
• Share of people living in cities in Germany
• Share of people living in cities in India

Every forecast we have for Italy · Share of people living in cities in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/wb.urbanization_pct?country=ITA

Conditions and limits

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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