Share of adults in work or looking for work in Italy: our forecast to 2035

Satoria projects share of adults in work or looking for work in Italy at about 49.2% in 2035, from 49.3% recorded in 2025. 80% range 46.2% to 52.4%.

How far the evidence reaches

Limited evidence. This measurement has no sufficiently calibrated test horizon on the record. Colour does not represent a probability.

The full name of this series is Share of adults in work or looking for work (labour force participation rate).

The path

• 2026: Satoria forecast 49.3% (80% range 48.4 to 50.1)
• 2027: Satoria forecast 49.3% (80% range 47.9 to 50.4)
• 2031: Satoria forecast 49.3% (80% range 46.9 to 51.6)
• 2035: Satoria forecast 49.2% (80% range 46.2 to 52.4)

Where it starts

The latest source value is 49.3% recorded in 2025, published by International Labour Organization - ILOSTAT. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

• Share of adults in work or looking for work in United States
• Share of adults in work or looking for work in Germany
• Share of adults in work or looking for work in India

Every forecast we have for Italy · Share of adults in work or looking for work in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/ilo.labor_force_participation?country=ITA

Conditions and limits

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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