Unemployment rate in Italy: our forecast to 2035

Satoria projects unemployment rate in Italy at about 6 modeled ILO estimate in 2035, from 6.4 modeled ILO estimate recorded in 2025.

How far the evidence reaches

Beyond tested horizon. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2030 from this reference), across 65 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.

The path

Where it starts

The latest source value is 6.4 modeled ILO estimate recorded in 2025, published by World Bank - World Development Indicators. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

Every forecast we have for Italy · Unemployment rate in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/wb.unemployment_rate?country=ITA

Conditions and limits

A share of the workforce

Unemployment is the percentage of the labour force that is unemployed, not the percentage of all residents and not your personal chance of finding work. A change in participation or migration can change this rate without an equivalent change in the number of jobs.

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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