How long women live in Japan: our forecast to 2033
Satoria projects how long women live in Japan at about 88.4 years in 2033, from 87.7 years recorded in 2023. 80% range 83.8 years to 94.9 years.
How far the evidence reaches
Limited evidence. This measurement has no sufficiently calibrated test horizon on the record. Colour does not represent a probability.
The full name of this series is How long women live (female life expectancy at birth).
The path
- 2024: Satoria forecast 87.8 years (80% range 85.5 to 88.8)
- 2025: Satoria forecast 87.9 years (80% range 85.2 to 89.3)
- 2029: Satoria forecast 88.1 years (80% range 84.6 to 90.8)
- 2033: Satoria forecast 88.4 years (80% range 83.8 to 94.9)
Where it starts
The latest source value is 87.7 years recorded in 2023, published by Gapminder. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.
The same measure elsewhere
Every forecast we have for Japan · How long women live in every country
This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/gapminder.life_expectancy_female?country=JPN
Conditions and limits
What this number can establish
The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.
The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.
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