Government debt, against the size of the economy in Kenya: our forecast to 2035

Name: Government debt, against the size of the economy in Kenya: Satoria forecast to 2035
Creator: Satoria

Satoria cannot read a reliable direction for government debt, against the size of the economy in Kenya by 2035. 80% range 51.8% to 96.4%.

How far the evidence reaches

Limited evidence. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2030 from this reference), across 66 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.

The full name of this series is Government debt, against the size of the economy (general government debt, % of gross domestic product).

The path

2026: Satoria forecast 72.6% (80% range 67.2 to 77.6)
2027: Satoria forecast 73.2% (80% range 64.6 to 80.2)
2031: Satoria forecast 73.7% (80% range 55.8 to 91.2)
2035: Satoria forecast 74% (80% range 51.8 to 96.4)

Where it starts

The latest source value is 71.3% recorded in 2025, published by International Monetary Fund - World Economic Outlook. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

Every forecast we have for Kenya · Government debt, against the size of the economy in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/imf.govt_debt_pct_gdp?country=KEN

Conditions and limits

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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