How long women live in Kenya: our forecast to 2033
Satoria projects how long women live in Kenya at about 68 years in 2033, from 65.9 years recorded in 2023. 80% range 59 years to 78.8 years.
How far the evidence reaches
Limited evidence. This measurement has no sufficiently calibrated test horizon on the record. Colour does not represent a probability.
The full name of this series is How long women live (female life expectancy at birth).
The path
- 2024: Satoria forecast 66.1 years (80% range 63.2 to 68.4)
- 2025: Satoria forecast 66.3 years (80% range 62.7 to 69.6)
- 2029: Satoria forecast 67.1 years (80% range 61.1 to 74.8)
- 2033: Satoria forecast 68 years (80% range 59 to 78.8)
Where it starts
The latest source value is 65.9 years recorded in 2023, published by Gapminder. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.
The same measure elsewhere
Every forecast we have for Kenya · How long women live in every country
This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/gapminder.life_expectancy_female?country=KEN
Conditions and limits
What this number can establish
The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.
The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.
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