Mothers who die giving birth in Kenya: our forecast to 2033

Satoria projects mothers who die giving birth in Kenya at about 314.3 per_100k_live_births in 2033, from 378.8 per_100k_live_births recorded in 2023.

How far the evidence reaches

Limited evidence. This measurement has no sufficiently calibrated test horizon on the record. Colour does not represent a probability.

The full name of this series is Mothers who die giving birth (maternal mortality ratio).

The path

• 2024: Satoria forecast 357.4 per_100k_live_births (80% range 211.3 to 568.2)
• 2025: Satoria forecast 349.1 per_100k_live_births (80% range 179.9 to 588.3)
• 2029: Satoria forecast 323.7 per_100k_live_births (80% range 73.8 to 699)
• 2033: Satoria forecast 314.3 per_100k_live_births (80% range 44.6 to 773.6)

Where it starts

The latest source value is 378.8 per_100k_live_births recorded in 2023, published by United Nations - UN Data. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

• Mothers who die giving birth in United States
• Mothers who die giving birth in Germany
• Mothers who die giving birth in India

Every forecast we have for Kenya · Mothers who die giving birth in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/un.maternal_mortality_ratio?country=KEN

Conditions and limits

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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