How much people are buying in shops, against a year ago in Mexico: our forecast to 2036

Name: How much people are buying in shops, against a year ago in Mexico: Satoria forecast to 2036
Creator: Satoria

Satoria projects how much people are buying in shops, against a year ago in Mexico at about 2.9% in 2036, from 2% recorded in 2026. 80% range -6.6% to 13.1%.

How far the evidence reaches

Beyond tested horizon. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2031 from this reference), across 28 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.

The full name of this series is How much people are buying in shops, against a year ago (retail sales volume, year on year).

The path

2027: Satoria forecast 3% (80% range -4 to 9.7)
2028: Satoria forecast 3% (80% range -4.9 to 10.9)
2032: Satoria forecast 2.2% (80% range -7.5 to 12.1)
2036: Satoria forecast 2.9% (80% range -6.6 to 13.1)

Where it starts

The latest source value is 2% recorded in 2026, published by OECD Data Explorer. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

Every forecast we have for Mexico · How much people are buying in shops, against a year ago in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/oecd.retail_sales_yoy?country=MEX

Conditions and limits

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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