Unemployment rate in Netherlands: our forecast to 2036
Satoria projects unemployment rate in Netherlands at about 5.2% in 2036, from 4% recorded in 2026. 80% range 1.7% to 10.4%. Source values from Eurostat.
How far the evidence reaches
Beyond tested horizon. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2031 from this reference), across 20 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.
The path
- 2027: Satoria forecast 4.1% (80% range 3.1 to 5.3)
- 2028: Satoria forecast 4.2% (80% range 2.5 to 6.6)
- 2032: Satoria forecast 4.9% (80% range 1.8 to 9.4)
- 2036: Satoria forecast 5.2% (80% range 1.7 to 10.4)
Where it starts
The latest source value is 4% recorded in 2026, published by Eurostat. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.
The same measure elsewhere
Every forecast we have for Netherlands · Unemployment rate in every country
This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/eurostat.unemployment_rate?country=NLD
Conditions and limits
A share of the workforce
Unemployment is the percentage of the labour force that is unemployed, not the percentage of all residents and not your personal chance of finding work. A change in participation or migration can change this rate without an equivalent change in the number of jobs.
What this number can establish
The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.
The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.
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