How long women live in South Africa: our forecast to 2033
Satoria projects how long women live in South Africa at about 73.4 years in 2033, from 69.6 years recorded in 2023. 80% range 59.3 years to 86.3 years.
How far the evidence reaches
Limited evidence. This measurement has no sufficiently calibrated test horizon on the record. Colour does not represent a probability.
The full name of this series is How long women live (female life expectancy at birth).
The path
- 2024: Satoria forecast 70.1 years (80% range 66.6 to 73.1)
- 2025: Satoria forecast 70.4 years (80% range 65.9 to 74.7)
- 2029: Satoria forecast 72.1 years (80% range 62.3 to 82.6)
- 2033: Satoria forecast 73.4 years (80% range 59.3 to 86.3)
Where it starts
The latest source value is 69.6 years recorded in 2023, published by Gapminder. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.
The same measure elsewhere
Every forecast we have for South Africa · How long women live in every country
This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/gapminder.life_expectancy_female?country=ZAF
Conditions and limits
What this number can establish
The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.
The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.
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