Young people out of work in South Africa: our forecast to 2035

Satoria cannot read a reliable direction for young people out of work in South Africa by 2035. 80% range 45.7 modeled ILO estimate to 67.2 modeled ILO estimate.

How far the evidence reaches

Limited evidence. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2030 from this reference), across 65 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.

The path

• 2026: Satoria forecast 59.4 modeled ILO estimate (80% range 57.2 to 61.6)
• 2027: Satoria forecast 59.3 modeled ILO estimate (80% range 54.9 to 62.8)
• 2031: Satoria forecast 58.1 modeled ILO estimate (80% range 47.7 to 66.3)
• 2035: Satoria forecast 57.8 modeled ILO estimate (80% range 45.7 to 67.2)

Where it starts

The latest source value is 59.9 modeled ILO estimate recorded in 2025, published by World Bank - World Development Indicators. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

• Young people out of work in United States
• Young people out of work in Germany
• Young people out of work in India

Every forecast we have for South Africa · Young people out of work in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/wb.youth_unemployment?country=ZAF

Conditions and limits

A share of the workforce

Unemployment is the percentage of the labour force that is unemployed, not the percentage of all residents and not your personal chance of finding work. A change in participation or migration can change this rate without an equivalent change in the number of jobs.

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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