Average temperature in Spain: our forecast to 2035
Satoria projects average temperature in Spain at about 16.3 C in 2035, from 16.2 C recorded in 2025. 80% range 15.1 C to 17.5 C. Source values from Open-Meteo.
How far the evidence reaches
Beyond tested horizon. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2030 from this reference), across 8 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.
The path
- 2026: Satoria forecast 15.8 C (80% range 14.9 to 16.8)
- 2027: Satoria forecast 15.9 C (80% range 14.9 to 16.9)
- 2031: Satoria forecast 16.1 C (80% range 15 to 17.2)
- 2035: Satoria forecast 16.3 C (80% range 15.1 to 17.5)
Where it starts
The latest source value is 16.2 C recorded in 2025, published by Open-Meteo. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.
The same measure elsewhere
Every forecast we have for Spain · Average temperature in every country
This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/weather.avg_temp?country=ESP
Conditions and limits
What this number can establish
The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.
The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.
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