Government debt, against the size of the economy in Spain: our forecast to 2035

Name: Government debt, against the size of the economy in Spain: Satoria forecast to 2035
Creator: Satoria

Satoria cannot read a reliable direction for government debt, against the size of the economy in Spain by 2035. 80% range 67.6% to 151.2%.

How far the evidence reaches

Limited evidence. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2030 from this reference), across 66 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.

The full name of this series is Government debt, against the size of the economy (general government debt, % of gross domestic product).

The path

2026: Satoria forecast 100.8% (80% range 91.6 to 114.2)
2027: Satoria forecast 101.5% (80% range 86.7 to 121.6)
2031: Satoria forecast 107.6% (80% range 72.4 to 140.4)
2035: Satoria forecast 113.2% (80% range 67.6 to 151.2)

Where it starts

The latest source value is 100.5% recorded in 2025, published by International Monetary Fund - World Economic Outlook. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

Every forecast we have for Spain · Government debt, against the size of the economy in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/imf.govt_debt_pct_gdp?country=ESP

Conditions and limits

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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