Share of people living in cities in Uganda: our forecast to 2035

Satoria projects share of people living in cities in Uganda at about 37.8% in 2035, from 31.9% recorded in 2025. 80% range 34.1% to 41.5%.

How far the evidence reaches

Beyond tested horizon. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2030 from this reference), across 65 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.

The full name of this series is Share of people living in cities (urban population, %).

The path

• 2026: Satoria forecast 32.6% (80% range 32.5 to 32.7)
• 2027: Satoria forecast 33.2% (80% range 33 to 33.4)
• 2031: Satoria forecast 35.7% (80% range 34 to 37.1)
• 2035: Satoria forecast 37.8% (80% range 34.1 to 41.5)

Where it starts

The latest source value is 31.9% recorded in 2025, published by World Bank - World Development Indicators. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

• Share of people living in cities in United States
• Share of people living in cities in Germany
• Share of people living in cities in India

Every forecast we have for Uganda · Share of people living in cities in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/wb.urbanization_pct?country=UGA

Conditions and limits

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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