Food prices in shops in Ukraine: our forecast to 2035
Satoria cannot read a reliable direction for food prices in shops in Ukraine by 2035. 80% range 103.2 to 3,130.
How far the evidence reaches
Limited evidence. This measurement has no sufficiently calibrated test horizon on the record. Colour does not represent a probability.
The full name of this series is Food prices in shops (FAOSTAT national food consumer price index, 2015 = 100).
The path
- 2027: Satoria forecast 411.5 (80% range 89.7 to 1,098)
- 2028: Satoria forecast 477.3 (80% range 160.1 to 1,869)
- 2031: Satoria forecast 674.2 (80% range 120.6 to 2,982)
- 2035: Satoria forecast 897 (80% range 103.2 to 3,130)
Where it starts
The latest source value is 320.8 recorded in 2026, published by Food and Agriculture Organization - FAOSTAT. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.
The same measure elsewhere
Every forecast we have for Ukraine · Food prices in shops in every country
This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/fao.food_price_index?country=UKR
Conditions and limits
War changes the conditions
A historical statistical path cannot tell us how the war will develop. Security, migration, mobilisation and reconstruction can change both employment and the size of the workforce. This forecast publishes no explicit war scenario. Read it as a conditional statistical projection, not a prediction of peace or recovery.
NBU: assumptions and risks, January 2026
What this number can establish
The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.
The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.
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