Mobile phone lines per 100 people in Ukraine: our forecast to 2033

Satoria projects mobile phone lines per 100 people in Ukraine at about 139.8 per 100 people in 2033, from 133.4 per 100 people recorded in 2023.

How far the evidence reaches

Beyond tested horizon. Tests cover up to 5 years ahead (through 2028 from this reference), across 63 country series. Longer horizons extend beyond those tests. Colours show evidence, not certainty.

The full name of this series is Mobile phone lines per 100 people (mobile cellular subscriptions per 100 people).

The path

• 2024: Satoria forecast 134.7 per 100 people (80% range 122.3 to 148.1)
• 2025: Satoria forecast 135.2 per 100 people (80% range 117.9 to 153.9)
• 2029: Satoria forecast 138.5 per 100 people (80% range 108.4 to 172.7)
• 2033: Satoria forecast 139.8 per 100 people (80% range 98.8 to 186.6)

Where it starts

The latest source value is 133.4 per 100 people recorded in 2023, published by World Bank - World Development Indicators. Everything after that year is Satoria's forecast, with the range printed next to it.

The same measure elsewhere

• Mobile phone lines per 100 people in United States
• Mobile phone lines per 100 people in Germany
• Mobile phone lines per 100 people in India

Every forecast we have for Ukraine · Mobile phone lines per 100 people in every country

This forecast as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/wb.mobile_subscriptions_per_100?country=UKR

Conditions and limits

War changes the conditions

A historical statistical path cannot tell us how the war will develop. Security, migration, mobilisation and reconstruction can change both employment and the size of the workforce. This forecast publishes no explicit war scenario. Read it as a conditional statistical projection, not a prediction of peace or recovery.

NBU: assumptions and risks, January 2026

What this number can establish

The published record supports a statistical projection and a model range. It does not establish why a future event will happen. Connections between measurements are predictive associations, not proof of causation. Source measurements, estimates and Satoria forecasts must be read separately.

The model range is not a guarantee. Historical test coverage is not the probability of the central forecast happening.

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