Whether borrowing has run ahead of the economy (credit-to-GDP gap): what the numbers point to next

The United States, as the worked example

Latest value for the United States (Local · United States): -11.32 pp in 2026.

• 2027: Satoria forecast -10.24 pp (80% range -21.30 to 0.93)
• 2030: Satoria forecast -6.30 pp (80% range -27.88 to 16.99)
• 2035: Satoria forecast -8.58 pp (80% range -38.62 to 24.21)

Every other country

Every country, as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/bis.credit_to_gdp_gap?country=ISO3 (replace ISO3, e.g. DEU, GBR, POL).

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