Killings per 100,000 people (intentional homicide rate): what the numbers point to next
The United States, as the worked example
Latest value for the United States (Local · United States): 5.76 per_100k_population in 2023.
- 2026: Satoria forecast 5.46 per_100k_population (80% range 4.12 to 6.95)
- 2027: Satoria forecast 5.40 per_100k_population (80% range 3.86 to 7.10)
- 2030: Satoria forecast 5.37 per_100k_population (80% range 3.35 to 7.58)
Every other country
Every country, as data: https://satoria-pipeline-production.up.railway.app/api/forecast/un.homicide_rate?country=ISO3 (replace ISO3, e.g. DEU, GBR, POL).
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